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We ingest as many games into the system as we can locate (currently just Tripple Crown Softball Tournaments, but more leagues comming soon), and separate them by softball year (September 1 - August 31), and age division. We use advanced statistical and Artificial Intelligence techniques to estimate the odds of each team beating any other team in a head-to-head game. We keep adjusting those odds until our prediction comes closest to matching the actual results from all the games in the system.
In sports, you never know what will happen in any individual game, and certainly two teams that have never faced each other should be ready for anything. But our system considers all the other teams those two new teams have faced, and how those other teams have performed against each other.
Teams that are close together in the rankings are typically very similar in performance, with the higher ranked team often having just a slight advantage over the next lower ranked team - this could mean that we expect the higher ranked team to win 51% of the games against the next lower ranked team. A higher ranked team is NOT necessarily expected to win every game against a lower ranked team, just to win more than half the time. The more separation in rank, the more often we expect the higher-ranked team to win.
Rank | Team Name | TrueRank Weight | Team City |
---|---|---|---|
1 | OK Diamond Girls | 1.356 | Tulsa, |
2 | Huntington Beach Breeze | 1.222 | Huntington Beach, |
3 | OC Nighthawks 14U | 1.061 | Yorba Linda, |
4 | Power Surge | 0.775 | San Diego, |
5 | Lady Wongs | 0.746 | Simi Valley, |
6 | Tsunami | 0.646 | San Diego, |
7 | Villa Park Vipers | 0.641 | Villa Park, |
8 | California Spin | 0.630 | California, |
9 | OR Slammers | 0.621 | Gladstone, |
10 | Rocklin Hype | 0.606 | California, |
11 | South Florida Mini Bulls | 0.599 | Florida, |
12 | Prime Time Elite Red | 0.577 | La Puente, |
13 | Utah Thunder | 0.556 | Utah, |
14 | Thunderstruck Fastpitch | 0.522 | Palmdale, |
15 | AZ Storm | 0.492 | Casa Grande, |
16 | IL Midland Magic | 0.473 | Glen Carbon, |
17 | San Diego Rowdies | 0.461 | San Diego, California |
18 | Primetime Elite | 0.435 | Avocado Heights, |
19 | KY Sluggers | 0.396 | Louisville, |
20 | WA Lake Breeze | 0.353 | Marysville, |
21 | Victoria Devils 94 | 0.329 | Canada, |
22 | Colorado Ice | 0.329 | Colorado, |
23 | Oregon Blaze Gold | 0.320 | Beaverton, Oregon |
24 | Corona Xpress | 0.312 | Corona, |
25 | CA SoCal Pumas | 0.293 | Newbury Park, |
26 | San Diego Aztecs | 0.290 | San Diego, |
27 | NM Albuquerque Sol | 0.284 | Edgewood, |
28 | OR Panthers | 0.272 | Woodburn, |
29 | Rockers MO | 0.266 | Illinois, |
30 | The Next Level Mena-Blue | 0.262 | Temecula, California |
31 | HI Pearls | 0.230 | Honolulu, |
32 | Carlsbad Aces | 0.219 | Carlsbad, |
33 | Colo Majestix Black | 0.203 | Broomfield, |
34 | LA Patriots | 0.197 | Baton Rouge, |
35 | AZ Killer Bees Elvis | 0.168 | Tempe, |
36 | Lady Wongs | 0.158 | Simi Valley, |
37 | San Diego Renegades | 0.130 | Escondido, |
38 | Classic Team Softball | 0.106 | Temecula, |
39 | San Bernardino Stars Mark | 0.057 | San Bernardino, |
40 | Spiders | 0.041 | Utah, |
41 | OC Banzai 16U | 0.037 | Anaheim, |
42 | LQ Insanity Fastpitch | 0.035 | Indio, |
43 | Thermal Lucys Comets | 0.032 | Coachella, |
44 | California Mirage Elite | 0.019 | West Covina, |
45 | WA Sidewinders | 0.004 | Tacoma, |
46 | Cal Ladyhawks | -0.013 | San Gabriel, |
47 | KS Wichita Mustangs | -0.024 | Wichita, |
48 | Arkansas Xtreme Gold | -0.032 | Arkansas, |
49 | California Crossfire Bill | -0.032 | California, |
50 | TX RR Blaze | -0.060 | Round Rock, |
51 | UT Eclipse | -0.061 | S. Jordan, |
52 | OC Magic | -0.064 | Mission Viejo, |
53 | California Aftershock | -0.077 | Paso Robles, |
54 | Texas Ball Brats | -0.083 | Texas, |
55 | Cyclone Softball | -0.091 | Lancaster, |
56 | scorcherz | -0.091 | SLC, |
57 | Nemesis | -0.108 | Arizona, |
58 | I.E. Enigma Softball | -0.122 | Riverside, California |
59 | So Cal Edge | -0.123 | Huntington Beach, |
60 | Colorado Wrath | -0.162 | Arvada, |
61 | East County Gamers | -0.166 | El Cajon, |
62 | IL Chill | -0.181 | Keniworth, |
63 | LA N.O. Deja Vu | -0.251 | New Orleans, |
64 | UT Storm | -0.277 | North Ogden, |
65 | Paola Explosion II | -0.279 | Kansas, |
66 | California Crushers | -0.281 | California, |
67 | CA Central Krush | -0.294 | Fresno, |
68 | American Pastime Gold | -0.338 | Upland, California |
69 | Mira Mesa Magic | -0.362 | San Diego, |
70 | CP Fastpitch | -0.362 | Oregon, |
71 | Colorado Stars-Medrano | -0.367 | Colorado, Colorado |
72 | So Cal Venom | -0.381 | San Diego, |
73 | OC Nighthawks | -0.411 | Yorba Linda, |
74 | Colorado Psyclones | -0.473 | Morrison, |
75 | CA Minors Gold | -0.478 | Widomar, |
76 | CO Quicksilver | -0.506 | Colorado Springs, |
77 | Central Cal Intensity | -0.509 | Bakersfield, |
78 | So Cal Magic 18U | -0.526 | Victorville, |
79 | New Mexico Sol-MC | -0.583 | New Mexico, |
80 | AZ Power 16U | -0.586 | Laveen, |
81 | Valley Madness | -0.602 | Shadow Hills, |
82 | Top Prospects Elite | -0.603 | Vista, |
83 | NY Valley Express | -0.622 | Brewster, |
84 | Cyclone Softball | -0.686 | Lancaster, |
85 | Colorado Blast | -0.725 | Westminster, |
86 | Minnesota Rebels | -0.749 | Minnesota, |
87 | Iwvys Heat | -0.848 | Ridgecrest, |
88 | Colorado Majestix | -0.857 | Northglenn, |
89 | CA Strikkers | -0.892 | San Jose, |
90 | Bakersfield HEATwave | -1.067 | Bakersfield, |
91 | Ozone Gold 14U | -1.358 | Oceanside, |
The following teams have no games in our database against a nationaly ranked team.