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We ingest as many games into the system as we can locate (currently just Tripple Crown Softball Tournaments, but more leagues comming soon), and separate them by softball year (September 1 - August 31), and age division. We use advanced statistical and Artificial Intelligence techniques to estimate the odds of each team beating any other team in a head-to-head game. We keep adjusting those odds until our prediction comes closest to matching the actual results from all the games in the system.
In sports, you never know what will happen in any individual game, and certainly two teams that have never faced each other should be ready for anything. But our system considers all the other teams those two new teams have faced, and how those other teams have performed against each other.
Teams that are close together in the rankings are typically very similar in performance, with the higher ranked team often having just a slight advantage over the next lower ranked team - this could mean that we expect the higher ranked team to win 51% of the games against the next lower ranked team. A higher ranked team is NOT necessarily expected to win every game against a lower ranked team, just to win more than half the time. The more separation in rank, the more often we expect the higher-ranked team to win.
Rank | Team Name | TrueRank Weight | Team City |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Colorado Raiders | 1.588 | Parker, |
2 | Mavs | 1.248 | Grand Junction, |
3 | Colorado River Dogs | 1.225 | Aurora, |
4 | Santa Barbara Riptide | 1.137 | Santa Barbara, Ca. |
5 | Hard 90 Phenom Premier | 1.110 | Roseville, |
6 | Dakota Ridge Fear | 1.056 | Littleton, |
7 | Highlands Ranch Cougars | 1.054 | Highlands Ranch, |
8 | Colorado Rangers | 1.047 | Broomfield, |
9 | Dakota Ridge Fear | 1.037 | Littleton, |
10 | Agoura Thunder | 1.004 | Agoura Hills, CA |
11 | Northern Colorado Rockhounds | 0.946 | Eaton, |
12 | Colorado River Dogs | 0.939 | Aurora, |
13 | Loveland Bomb Squad | 0.917 | Loveland, |
14 | Pueblo Terminators | 0.902 | Pueblo, |
15 | Cheyenne Raptors | 0.898 | Cheyenne, |
16 | Colorado Crushers | 0.867 | Fort Collins, |
17 | Temecula Xtreme Baseball Club | 0.860 | Temecula, CA |
18 | South Coast Sluggers | 0.860 | Goleta, |
19 | Loveland Bambinos | 0.819 | Loveland, CO |
20 | So Cal Xplosion | 0.810 | Corona, CA |
21 | San Marcos Fire Red | 0.786 | San Marcos, |
22 | Bakersfield Heat | 0.781 | Bakersfield, |
23 | Parker Bears | 0.764 | Parker, |
24 | Highlands Ranch Cougars | 0.751 | Highlands Ranch, |
25 | Chatfield Titans | 0.751 | Littleton, CO |
26 | Scottsdale Dirtbags | 0.733 | Scottsdale, AZ |
27 | Alb Volcanoes | 0.716 | Albuquerque, NM |
28 | Cowboys Baseball Club | 0.715 | La Mesa, |
29 | So Cal Terror | 0.710 | Palmdale, |
30 | San Diego Longhorns | 0.674 | San Diego, CA |
31 | Central Valley Athletics | 0.667 | Fresno, CA |
32 | Red Dawgs | 0.666 | Brighton, |
33 | Dakota Ridge Fear | 0.652 | Littleton, |
34 | Colorado Mavericks | 0.650 | Centennial, |
35 | Brighton Bears | 0.640 | Brighton, CO |
36 | So Cal Xplosion D1 | 0.632 | Corona, |
37 | Colorado Muddogs | 0.628 | Thornton, |
38 | So Cal Outlaws | 0.591 | Chino Hills, CA |
39 | Calgary Coyotes Blue | 0.583 | Calgary, Canada |
40 | Santa Barbara Riptide | 0.583 | Santa Barbara, CA |
41 | Loveland Bambinos 11u | 0.548 | Loveland, |
42 | STUNNERZ | 0.543 | San Diego, |
43 | Louisville Dynamite | 0.539 | Louisville, |
44 | Blue Wave 11U | 0.538 | Irvine, |
45 | Santa Maria Baseball Club North | 0.527 | Santa Maria, |
46 | South County Colts | 0.509 | Madera, |
47 | Colorado ThunderDawgs | 0.504 | Greeley, |
48 | Arvada Mustangs | 0.494 | Westminster, |
49 | Bakersfield Titans | 0.494 | Bakersfield, |
50 | Hard 90 Phenom | 0.489 | Roseville, |
51 | Longmont Outlawz | 0.442 | Longmont, |
52 | Alamogordo Young Guns | 0.423 | Alamogordo, |
53 | Loveland Bulldogs | 0.352 | Loveland, |
54 | Corona Cougars | 0.344 | Corona, CA |
55 | Chatfield Chargers | 0.343 | Littleton, |
56 | Cherry Creek Thunder | 0.343 | Centennial, |
57 | Longmont Outlawz | 0.310 | Longmont, |
58 | Longmont Lynx | 0.310 | Longmont, |
59 | DC Rockers | 0.293 | Castle Rock, |
60 | Colorado Springs Outlaws | 0.272 | Colorado Springs, |
61 | Visalia Heat | 0.272 | Visalia, |
62 | Central Cal Academy | 0.268 | Fresno, |
63 | Slammers | 0.266 | San Anselmo, |
64 | Stockton Giants | 0.266 | Stockton, |
65 | Stanislaus Sting | 0.259 | Turlock, |
66 | Fort Collins Heat | 0.253 | Fort Collins, CO |
67 | Dawgs Baseball | 0.247 | Aurora, |
68 | Carlsbad Kings | 0.231 | Carlsbad, |
69 | Pueblo Sharks | 0.225 | Pueblo, |
70 | Grand Junction Mavs | 0.222 | Grand Junction, |
71 | Brighton Bears | 0.222 | Brighton, |
72 | Brighton Baseball | 0.207 | Brighton, |
73 | Longmont Cyclones | 0.192 | Longmont, |
74 | Bakersfield Inferno | 0.186 | Bakersfield, |
75 | Rio Rancho Storm | 0.158 | Rio Rancho, |
76 | Dakota Ridge Bulls | 0.155 | Littleton, |
77 | Black Hawks | 0.155 | Parker, |
78 | Billings Regulators IX | 0.154 | Billings, |
79 | Mavs | 0.150 | Grand Junction, |
80 | NCSD Flyers | 0.134 | Carslbad, |
81 | Chamberlin Baseball Academy | 0.134 | Visalia, |
82 | Undertakers | 0.133 | Soledad, |
83 | Longmont Outlawz | 0.125 | Longmont, |
84 | Delano Outlaws | 0.121 | Delano, Ca. |
85 | LP TIGERS | 0.110 | Glendale, CA |
86 | DC Rockers | 0.108 | Castle Rock, |
87 | DC Rockers X-treme | 0.105 | Castle Rock, CO |
88 | Colorado Diamond Kings | 0.085 | Aurora, |
89 | BallHogs Baseball Club 11U | 0.066 | San Diego, |
90 | Chatfield Vipers | 0.063 | Littleton, |
91 | Colorado Sky Sox | 0.057 | Parker, CO |
92 | Cheyenne Stars | 0.047 | Cheyenne, |
93 | Longmont Outlawz | 0.039 | Longmont, |
94 | So Cal Cyclones | 0.038 | Corona, CA |
95 | Valley Rays | 0.032 | Fresno, |
96 | Little Bronx Bombers | 0.022 | Las Vegas, NV |
97 | Team Colorado Rawlings | 0.022 | Parker, |
98 | Riverside S.W.A.T | 0.013 | Riverside, CA |
99 | BC SOX | 0.009 | Lakewood, |
100 | Colorado Springs Falcons | 0.008 | Colorado Springs, |
101 | Diamond Bar Diamond Dawgs | -0.002 | Diamond Bar, CA |
102 | Blue Wave 12U | -0.006 | Irvine, |
103 | Northern Colorado Authority | -0.022 | Lafayette, |
104 | NorCal Dawgs | -0.024 | San Mateo, |
105 | Santa Maria Slammers | -0.026 | Santa Maria, |
106 | Alamo City Defenders | -0.038 | San Antonio, TX |
107 | Colorado Hawks | -0.048 | Littleton, |
108 | Thornton Sidewinders | -0.074 | Thornton, |
109 | Broomfield Bombers | -0.088 | Broomfield, |
110 | North City Dukes | -0.092 | san diego, |
111 | Stealth | -0.092 | Riverbank, CA |
112 | Niwot Elite | -0.096 | Niwot, |
113 | Downey Dbacks | -0.111 | Downey, |
114 | Thornton Rivercats | -0.111 | Thornton, |
115 | Castle Rock Knights | -0.119 | Castle Rock, CO |
116 | Lafayette Warriors | -0.121 | Thornton, |
117 | Carlsbad Defenders | -0.169 | Carlsbad, CA |
118 | Canon City Tigers | -0.190 | Canon City, |
119 | Colorado Cobras | -0.230 | Highlands Ranch, |
120 | Cheyenne Raptors | -0.233 | Cheyenne, |
121 | CCBA Wolfpack | -0.252 | San Luis Obispo, |
122 | Brighton Baseball | -0.255 | Brighton, |
123 | Chamberlin B.B. Red | -0.261 | Visalia, |
124 | Salt City Sox | -0.278 | Herriman, UT |
125 | TC Rawlings | -0.285 | Castle Rock, |
126 | OC THUNDER D1 | -0.285 | Garden Grove, |
127 | Santa Clarita Express | -0.293 | Santa Clarita, CA |
128 | Eaton Reds | -0.296 | Eaton, |
129 | Casper Sliders | -0.300 | Casper, |
130 | Cen Cal Ballers | -0.300 | Fresno, |
131 | Murrieta Dirtbags | -0.301 | Murrieta, CA |
132 | Hard 9 | -0.302 | Anaheim, |
133 | Surf City Sharks | -0.302 | Huntington Beach, |
134 | Thornton Rebels | -0.317 | Thornton, |
135 | MadDogs | -0.350 | San Diego, |
136 | SE Denver Wolverines | -0.354 | Denver, |
137 | Colorado Grizzlies | -0.356 | Arvada, |
138 | East Valley Predators | -0.365 | Chandler, |
139 | Colorado Toros | -0.398 | Highlands Ranch, |
140 | Loveland Bash | -0.403 | Loveland, |
141 | 209 Crew | -0.406 | Stockton, |
142 | Parker Bandits | -0.435 | Parker, |
143 | Cherry Creek Thunder | -0.437 | Aurora, |
144 | Highlands Ranch Bulldogs | -0.438 | Highlands Ranch, |
145 | Panther Black | -0.444 | Greenwood Village, |
146 | Pueblo Fusion | -0.456 | Pueblo, |
147 | Dakota Ridge Bulls | -0.457 | Littleton, |
148 | K Zone Athletics | -0.460 | Escalon, |
149 | Murrieta Dirtbags Gold | -0.460 | Murrieta, |
150 | Cencal Cougars | -0.491 | Clovis, |
151 | Western Slope Tigers | -0.498 | Grand Junction, |
152 | Highlands Ranch Outlaws | -0.499 | Highlands Ranch, |
153 | Salt Lake Sluggers | -0.504 | Salt Lake City, UT |
154 | Central Valley Diamondbacks | -0.518 | Hanford, |
155 | Dirty Dozen | -0.533 | Highlands Ranch, |
156 | Fort Collins Rattlers | -0.548 | Fort Collins, |
157 | Dirty Dozen | -0.557 | Highlands Ranch, |
158 | Chula Vista Bombers | -0.558 | Chula Vista, CA |
159 | Thornton River Cats | -0.563 | Thornton, |
160 | Bakersfield Web Gems | -0.593 | Bakersfield, |
161 | Cencal Cougars | -0.614 | Clovis, |
162 | LVB TITANS | -0.624 | Henderson, |
163 | Colorado Timber Rattlers | -0.630 | Windsor, |
164 | Colorado Toros | -0.631 | Highlands Ranch, |
165 | Arizona Titans | -0.644 | Phoenix, AZ |
166 | Undertakers | -0.647 | Soledad, |
167 | Canon City Tigers | -0.679 | Canon City, |
168 | Colorado Hornets | -0.732 | Highlands Ranch, |
169 | DC Thunder | -0.735 | Castle Rock, |
170 | Turlock Renegades | -0.752 | Turlock, |
171 | Santa Maria Baseball Club | -0.753 | Santa Maria, |
172 | Erie Tigers | -0.821 | Erie, |
173 | Bakersfield Web-Jams | -0.825 | Bakersfield, |
174 | Fort Collins Stampede | -0.831 | Ft. Collins, |
175 | Eastern Colorado Cobras | -0.833 | Strasburg, |
176 | Soledad Young Guns | -0.864 | Soledad, |
177 | Warrior Crimson | -0.879 | Parker, |
178 | Pojoaque Elks | -0.894 | Santa Cruz, NM |
179 | Wildcats | -0.902 | Aurora, |
180 | Colorado Hawks 11u | -0.924 | Littleton, |
181 | Longmont Royals | -0.945 | Longmont, |
182 | Yard Dawgs | -0.964 | Parker, |
183 | Riverside Rippers | -0.969 | Riverside, CA |
184 | Thousand Oaks Bulldogs | -0.971 | Thousand Oaks, CA |
185 | CO Springs Legends | -0.972 | Colorado Springs, |
186 | Colorado Cyclones | -1.012 | Denver, |
187 | Team Colorado Rawlings Baseball 12U | -1.059 | Parker, |
188 | Colorado Cobras | -1.064 | Highlands Ranch, CO |
189 | Fort Collins Fury | -1.067 | Fort Collins, |
190 | Estero Bay Rip Tide | -1.141 | Cayucos, |
191 | Akron Rams | -1.178 | Akron, |
192 | Parker Tornadoes | -1.180 | Aurora, |
193 | Cherry Creek Red | -1.210 | Parker, |
194 | Five Stones Baseball | -1.221 | Aurora, |
The following teams have no games in our database against a nationaly ranked team.