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We ingest as many games into the system as we can locate (currently just Tripple Crown Softball Tournaments, but more leagues comming soon), and separate them by softball year (September 1 - August 31), and age division. We use advanced statistical and Artificial Intelligence techniques to estimate the odds of each team beating any other team in a head-to-head game. We keep adjusting those odds until our prediction comes closest to matching the actual results from all the games in the system.
In sports, you never know what will happen in any individual game, and certainly two teams that have never faced each other should be ready for anything. But our system considers all the other teams those two new teams have faced, and how those other teams have performed against each other.
Teams that are close together in the rankings are typically very similar in performance, with the higher ranked team often having just a slight advantage over the next lower ranked team - this could mean that we expect the higher ranked team to win 51% of the games against the next lower ranked team. A higher ranked team is NOT necessarily expected to win every game against a lower ranked team, just to win more than half the time. The more separation in rank, the more often we expect the higher-ranked team to win.
Rank | Team Name | TrueRank Weight | Team City |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Highlands Ranch Huskies | 1.830 | Highlands Ranch, CO |
2 | Cherry Creek Bruins | 1.340 | Greenwood Village, |
3 | Cheyenne Stars | 1.334 | Cheyenne, |
4 | Mavs | 1.300 | Grand Junction, |
5 | Broomfield Bullets | 1.193 | Broomfield, |
6 | Colorado Redbirds | 1.007 | Parker, |
7 | So Cal Outlaws | 0.992 | Chino Hills, CA |
8 | Longmont Outlawz | 0.777 | Longmont, |
9 | Colorado Springs Thunder | 0.775 | Colorado Springs, |
10 | Colorado Mojo | 0.762 | Highlands Ranch, |
11 | Armour Baseball | 0.755 | Centennial, |
12 | Boulder Bison Purple | 0.736 | Boulder, |
13 | Chino Hills Storm | 0.669 | Claremont, CA |
14 | Chatfield Chargers | 0.636 | Littleton, |
15 | Team Runyon | 0.622 | Pueblo West, |
16 | Parker Bears | 0.611 | Parker, |
17 | Wolverines Baseball Club | 0.583 | Chino, CA |
18 | Colorado Sky Sox | 0.569 | Parker, |
19 | Pueblo Falcons | 0.559 | Pueblo, |
20 | Bear Creek Spartans | 0.459 | Littleton, |
21 | Fort Collins Tigers 9u | 0.448 | Ft. Collins, |
22 | Dakota Ridge Eagles | 0.419 | Littleton, |
23 | Louisville Dynamite | 0.312 | Louisville, |
24 | DC Rockers | 0.285 | Larkspur, |
25 | Longmont Storm | 0.285 | Longmont, |
26 | 9U Armour | 0.282 | Parker, CO |
27 | Fort Collins Gators | 0.236 | Fort Collins, |
28 | Team Colorado Rawlings | 0.234 | Parker, |
29 | Brighton Baseball | 0.228 | Brighton, |
30 | SY Titans | 0.219 | Santa Ynez, CA |
31 | Colorado Hustle | 0.183 | Highlands Ranch, |
32 | Colorado Cobras | 0.169 | Lonetree, |
33 | DC Rockers | 0.123 | Castle Rock, |
34 | Cheyenne Raptors | 0.122 | Cheyenne, |
35 | Southland Twisters | 0.007 | Aurora, |
36 | Golden Gophers | -0.002 | Golden, |
37 | Windsor Coyotes | -0.020 | Windsor, |
38 | Yard Dawgs | -0.027 | Parker, |
39 | Camarillo Venom | -0.028 | Camarillo, CA |
40 | Panther Black | -0.039 | Centennial, |
41 | Colorado Sky Sox | -0.069 | Parker, |
42 | Colorado Outlaws | -0.083 | Littleton, CO |
43 | Colorado Cobras | -0.115 | Lone Tree, |
44 | JRBC Roughriders | -0.118 | Johnstown, |
45 | Ralston Valley Mustangs | -0.136 | Arvada, |
46 | Loveland Sidewinders | -0.169 | Loveland, |
47 | HR Bulldogs | -0.172 | Highlands Ranch, |
48 | Parker Sting | -0.183 | Parker, |
49 | San Diego Longhorns Black | -0.202 | Poway, CA |
50 | Loveland Chaos | -0.350 | Loveland, |
51 | Parker Yard Dawgs | -0.353 | Parker, |
52 | HR Bulldogs | -0.356 | Highlands Ranch, |
53 | Eaton Reds | -0.390 | Eaton, |
54 | Bear Creek Bears | -0.397 | Golden, |
55 | Brighton Baseball | -0.420 | Brighton, |
56 | Greeley Sky Sox | -0.423 | Greeley, |
57 | HitStreak | -0.424 | Castle Rock, |
58 | Colorado Diamond Kings | -0.438 | Aurora, |
59 | Highlands Ranch Heat | -0.467 | Highlands Ranch, |
60 | Mile High Aces | -0.525 | Highlands Ranch, |
61 | Colorado Mudcats | -0.541 | Centennial, |
62 | San Diego Surge | -0.548 | Escondido, CA |
63 | Knights | -0.550 | Boulder, |
64 | Bear Creek Beast | -0.555 | Morrison, |
65 | Vegas Venom | -0.579 | Las Vegas, NV |
66 | San Diego Longhorns Orange | -0.608 | La Mesa, CA |
67 | Colorado Cougars | -0.634 | Parker, |
68 | Pueblo Pirates | -0.646 | Pueblo, |
69 | Colorado Cowboys | -0.678 | Highlands Ranch, |
70 | Lakewood Tigers | -0.679 | Lakewood, |
71 | Front Range Rangers | -0.708 | Thornton, |
72 | Thornton storm | -0.777 | Thornton, CO |
73 | Sterling Plainsmen | -0.825 | Sterling, |
74 | D.C. Lightning | -0.853 | Castle Rock, |
75 | West Jeff Cougars | -0.886 | Evergreen, |
76 | Parker Yard Dawgs | -0.930 | Parker, |
77 | Steamboat Storm | -0.945 | Steamboat Springs, |
78 | Colorado Raptors | -1.034 | Fort Collins, |
79 | Colorado Mudcats | -1.047 | Centennial, |
80 | Rebels | -1.133 | Northglenn, |
The following teams have no games in our database against a nationaly ranked team.